These all drone provocations in #Europe are all worrying, but I have an impression that #Russia in all its rage has - excusez le mot - prematurely ejaculated. These provocations cause disruptions and are annoying, but in the first place they trigger awareness and response. In military dimension, they bring zero gain to Russia. Quite the opposite, their most tangible effect is that they shut mouths of this very particular layer of military & civilian officials who always tend to dismiss realistic risks as “it won’t happen, no way, they wouldn’t dare”. If Russians actually kept low profile and then attacked with drones on actual targets, that would be a true mayhem.

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